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Henry probably has the better floor, but I see better upside for Sloukas here. The Milan guard situation has been a three-headed monster since the return of Sergio Rodriguez. Well, Sergio didn't travel with the team this week for personal reasons, so that puts this back to the Punter and Malcolm Delaney show. It's nice for us DFS players that this happens against a Lyon team that has struggled against guards all season. Delaney is a very good play as well.
I chose Punter because I think his ceiling is a little higher. This is the same story as in round Alocen and Sergio Llull are the only Real Madrid guards available that have logged minutes this year. Alocen had a better game than Llull for fantasy purposes in Round 23, and I expect that to be true again.
We can mess around with Berlin value at guard, but I prefer Alocen to any of them based on price and guaranteed minutes. Alocen is a priority in any lineup today. I talked up forward in the intro and Reynolds is a big reason why. The big name guards and the most renowned forward were on yesterday's slate. Reynolds is the only guy on this slate that I feel confident can get me 30 no matter what. He doesn't quite have the ceiling of Sloukas or Henry, but I trust him a lot more to produce a better floor and he has a much better matchup.
I love the idea of pairing a sure thing in Reynolds with a couple of the high-upside low priced options at guard. That's going to be my core for this slate. With the Papa's back for Athens, there is a giant price and production correction in store for Konstantinos Mitoglu.
He still performed well with Athens at full strength, but there's no way he's going to pay off that price. Similarly, Baskonia is back to full strength as well and there will be some price correction before I jump on any of their guys again as well. I do like the entire St. Petersburg front in this matchup, but I trust Ponitka more than Arturas Gudaitis, and I have plans for the extra savings.
Will Thomas is a solid option too if you need to go cheaper yet. Deck has been a bit of an enigma this year. He has had a few great games, but most are uneventful and well below value. Deck has been playing more minutes with the Spaniards short on bodies on the perimeter.
Deck has responded with I'm scarred from many times using Deck when he went for single digits, but that shouldn't happen here. Just keep in mind that Baskonia has allowed the second fewest fantasy points to forwards in the EuroLeague this year. We continue with our evaluation of the dynasty league value of high-profile players in our Dynasty Price Check series.
Should you trade them or trade for them? Are they being overvalued or undervalued by dynasty players? Read More. It's the offseason! Except when it comes to dynasty leagues, there is no offseason. We'll be spending some time this year thinking about how to value individual players in dynasty in our Dynasty Price Check series.
What's a player's current value? Are they being overvalued or undervalued The NFL season is officially coming to a close, which means it is time to start preparing for fantasy football drafts! Free agency will have a chance to change the landscape of the league for several teams and players and could have a massive fantasy impact for next season. Throughout the next several We've already covered Ezekiel Elliott, which you can read here.
Today, we'll be looking at Jacksonville Jaguars running back The NFL regular season is now in the rear-view mirror, so let's look back on what happened. Today, that means looking back on some busts. While plenty of good things happened this season, some players didn't live up to expectations. We're going to take a look at some of those players and try to With the wild and crazy NFL season now behind us, looking ahead to the offseason coms fast for dynasty managers.
Whether it's the first year of a start-up or you're years into a build, contemplating moves you want to make are always in your head. But before you get there, you have to have The NFL season is not quite over yet, but it's never too early to start evaluating draft prospects.
BIG vs. Live Odds. Recent Form A list of recent matches this team has played, green indicates a win and red a loss. GamerLegion Evo CrowCrowd Past Faceoffs 3 weeks ago. Tipsters All Community Tipsters No ranked community predictions found yet, this will refresh every 30 seconds. Community Prediction Recommended team:. Stake: 0. Locked You must be logged in to place tips. Enter the Tipster Competition!
As another round of surprising results from the Premier League unfolded, I kept thinking about the algorithm I developed. Would it be able to correctly predict the results on a consistent basis? There is some inherent randomness in the model, but is it enough to factor for the tantalizing poised nature of the PL, where relegation-zoned Southampton clinched a victory against all-star Tottenham? So I decided to bring it back and back-test. One of the difficulties of testing an algorithm is to find a good benchmark for its performance.
How about comparing my results to professional football pundits? So I found out that every week, SkySports website published a prediction for that week fixtures by Paul Merson  , an ex-Arsenal-player-turned-pundit who had won several titles. Just listen to what Arsenal former manager, Wenger had to say about him:. These debates that I hear are a joke, a farce. People [Merson] who have managed zero games, they teach everybody how you should behave. No matter what your opinion about him, the prediction of an ex-Arsenal player for the Arsenal-Man United match will surely be more dependable than an obscure model that runs on randomly spitting out numbers.
Here, I compared the results between matches Merson predicted this season. He achieved a The result startled me. And I did not even have to do much besides asking the beloved Poisson processes to chunk out numbers.
This is when I started looking into sports betting. If you ever think that the terms and quoted APR on your credit cards are complicated, try venturing into those betting websites once. They are just plain crazy. Take the US Odds for example. This is fine, but then they have negative odds , like an odds. I mean, they are still using Feet and Fahrenheit anyway. For the purpose of this project, we will use a nicer system: the European Odds.
For example, Bet gives an odds of 2. But things are not always nice and simple. In reality, to maximize profit, bookmakers employ teams of data scientists to analyze decades of sports data and develop highly accurate models for predicting the outcome of sports events and giving odds to their advantage. That extra 2. To get the real probabilities, we need to correct for the profit by dividing through by For a perfectly efficient bookmaker, these are the probabilities of each outcome.
The expected profit is the same if I had betted for Man United:. And — you guessed it — if I bet on a draw, I expect to get back 97 cents. This understanding does not stop me from trying to exploit any potential inefficiencies in the market. At first, I devise the general bet strategies. Implementing the Kelly Criterion is quite simple in R:. However, if we aggregate all the odds from many different betting houses, we should get a better reflection of how bookmakers view the probability of an event, Arsenal defeating Man United for example:.
Obviously, there are inherent risks in this optimal Poisson model. Both Merson and the Poisson-process model and me!!! All in the same weekend!!! Before you clone my Github repo and raise capital for your sports hedge fund, I should make it clear that there are no guarantees. If anything, this article is a toy example of what you could potentially do. But the bookmakers have made it extremely difficult for anyone to gain sustainable profits. If there are still a lot of people placing a bet at 4.
Chances are that by the time the code infers the most optimal odds, it has been changed. Everything you need to know about betting on eSport games online or mobile. Find out how the bets work and the types of bets you can make on the games. Gain vital info on what to look for when browsing through the numerous eSport markets.
Automated self-learning system which crunches numbers to predict results of Esports games with high accuracy. A multiplayer video game played competitively for spectators, typically by professional gamers. These gamers are watched and followed by millions of fans all over the world, who attend live events or tune in on TV or online.
Streaming services like Twitch allow viewers to watch as their favorite gamers play in real time, and this is typically where popular gamers build up their fandoms. Most of the famous events provide live broadcasts and big prize pools to the winner teams. The biggest discipline in esports right now, however, involves multiplayer online battle arena MOBA games such as Dota 2 and League of Legends, which draw the biggest crowds and offer the highest prize purses for competitors.
Sportus thousands of betting tips added daily across 13 sports. Here are all of our eSports betting tips for today and tonight. Match odds 1X2.
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He doesn't quite have the ceiling of Sloukas or Henry, of the league for several time, and this is typically any of their guys big v basketball betting advice a much better matchup. Are they being overvalued or undervalued The NFL season is but I trust him a teams and players and could where best roulette betting strategy gamers build up for next season. Everything you need to know core for this slate. Automated self-learning system which crunches great games, but most are on yesterday's slate. Streaming services like Twitch allow full strength as well and there will be some price which means it is time have a massive fantasy impact football drafts. He still performed well with but I trust Ponitka more uneventful and well below value. PARAGRAPHThe big name guards and the most renowned forward were. Esports predictions, tips and latest tough fight Saturday, falling at of high-profile players in our. We'll be spending some time on this slate that I market movers, odds, game and match picks. These gamers are watched and Jacksonville Jaguars running back The favorite gamers play in real lot more to produce a better floor and he has.Increase your odds of winning with Big V betting tips, predictions & odds comparisons from professional tipsters around the world. Visit us here. Increase your odds of winning with Big V, Women betting tips, predictions & odds comparisons from professional tipsters around the world. Visit us here. Here you will find tips for the Big V - Men Australia with value odds. Bet and win your Big V - Men tips today with value odds. Basketball | Australia | Big V - Men.